Over 30 Division 1 South Importance
Fall 2026 leverage table for every remaining game in this flight.
The most important remaining game right now is Needham United vs Plymouth FC on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 186.00, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.
Exact formula used on this page:
Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.
For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.
Remaining Game Table
`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.
| # | Date | Matchup | Home Win% | Draw% | Away Win% | Match Score | If Home Wins | If Draw | If Away Wins | Most Affected Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunday, November 08 |
Needham United vs Plymouth FC
Needham United win
|
30 | 22 | 48 | 186.00 | 83.70 | 36.00 | 66.30 |
Plymouth FC
112.70 total change across the 3 results
|
| 2 | Thursday, November 05 |
Torres FC vs Southside F.C.
Southside F.C. win
|
47 | 22 | 31 | 135.40 | 46.60 | 14.60 | 74.20 |
Southside F.C.
69.90 total change across the 3 results
|
| 3 | Saturday, November 07 |
Boston Nigeria Eagles FC vs Taunton Eagles SC
Taunton Eagles SC win
|
41 | 22 | 37 | 133.20 | 56.20 | 16.40 | 60.60 |
Boston Nigeria Eagles FC
66.80 total change across the 3 results
|
| 4 | Thursday, November 12 |
Os Amigos F.C. vs Boston Nigeria Eagles FC
Os Amigos F.C. win
|
38 | 22 | 40 | 130.20 | 57.00 | 22.10 | 51.10 |
Os Amigos F.C.
76.30 total change across the 3 results
|
| 5 | Sunday, November 08 |
Boston Nigeria Eagles FC vs Torres FC
Boston Nigeria Eagles FC win
|
32 | 22 | 46 | 122.20 | 67.00 | 4.30 | 50.90 |
Torres FC
62.10 total change across the 3 results
|
| 6 | Sunday, November 08 |
Southside F.C. vs Taunton Eagles SC
Taunton Eagles SC win
|
40 | 22 | 38 | 117.30 | 49.50 | 13.90 | 53.90 |
Southside F.C.
63.70 total change across the 3 results
|
| 7 | Sunday, November 08 |
Os Amigos F.C. vs PRAIA KAPITAL FC
PRAIA KAPITAL FC win
|
46 | 22 | 32 | 67.20 | 26.00 | 14.40 | 26.80 |
Os Amigos F.C.
67.20 total change across the 3 results
|