Over 30 Division 2 South Importance
Fall 2026 leverage table for every remaining game in this flight.
The most important remaining game right now is Providence City FC vs Middlesex FC on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 183.80, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.
Exact formula used on this page:
Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.
For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.
Remaining Game Table
`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.
| # | Date | Matchup | Home Win% | Draw% | Away Win% | Match Score | If Home Wins | If Draw | If Away Wins | Most Affected Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunday, November 08 |
Providence City FC vs Middlesex FC
Middlesex FC win
|
48 | 22 | 30 | 183.80 | 65.10 | 30.20 | 88.50 |
Providence City FC
100.30 total change across the 3 results
|
| 2 | Sunday, September 27 |
Rovers FC vs Middlesex FC
Rovers FC win
|
36 | 22 | 42 | 109.00 | 51.40 | 17.60 | 40.00 |
Rovers FC
57.40 total change across the 3 results
|
| 3 | Sunday, September 27 |
Newport FC vs Providence City FC
Newport FC win
|
19 | 22 | 59 | 66.00 | 41.20 | 10.00 | 14.80 |
Providence City FC
50.30 total change across the 3 results
|
| 4 | Sunday, November 08 |
Rovers FC vs Newport FC
Newport FC win
|
48 | 22 | 30 | 54.60 | 17.50 | 14.20 | 22.90 |
Rovers FC
42.50 total change across the 3 results
|
| 5 | Sunday, September 27 |
Shake-Shake FC vs Fernandes FC
Fernandes FC win
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 30.30 | 9.40 | 3.40 | 17.50 |
Shake-Shake FC
25.20 total change across the 3 results
|
| 6 | Sunday, November 08 |
Medfield vs Shake-Shake FC
Medfield win
|
33 | 22 | 45 | 24.40 | 12.80 | 3.40 | 8.20 |
Shake-Shake FC
22.80 total change across the 3 results
|
| 7 | Sunday, September 20 |
Classicos F.C vs Newport FC
Newport FC win
|
38 | 22 | 40 | 10.60 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 5.00 |
Newport FC
10.60 total change across the 3 results
|
| 8 | Sunday, November 08 |
Fernandes FC vs Classicos F.C
Classicos F.C win
|
42 | 22 | 36 | 5.60 | 2.20 | 0.10 | 3.30 |
Fernandes FC
5.60 total change across the 3 results
|