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Over 40 Division 2 North Importance

Fall 2026 leverage table for every remaining game in this flight.

The most important remaining game right now is Shrewsbury vs Lynnfield FC on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 99.20, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Lynnfield FC win
47.00 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Shrewsbury vs Lynnfield FC
Lynnfield FC win
43 22 35 99.20 42.50 9.70 47.00
Shrewsbury
79.50 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Lexington Eagles vs Marblehead
Marblehead win
52 22 26 71.20 23.70 5.50 42.00
Lexington Eagles
71.20 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Kendall Wanderers vs Arlington Fossils
Arlington Fossils win
47 22 31 45.50 10.60 10.60 24.30
Arlington Fossils
45.50 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
Cantona North vs Melrose Wakefield Meadowlarks
Cantona North win
12 22 66 39.70 24.00 8.40 7.30
Melrose Wakefield Meadowlarks
39.70 total change across the 3 results
5 Thursday, November 05
Kendall Wanderers vs Lynnfield FC
Lynnfield FC win
39 22 39 21.90 9.20 2.10 10.60
Lynnfield FC
21.90 total change across the 3 results
6 Tuesday, November 10
Melrose Wakefield Meadowlarks vs Kendall Wanderers
Kendall Wanderers win
49 22 29 18.40 7.30 2.00 9.10
Melrose Wakefield Meadowlarks
18.40 total change across the 3 results