Over 40 Division 4 South Importance
Fall 2026 leverage table for every remaining game in this flight.
The most important remaining game right now is Mansfield United vs Newport FC O40 on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 258.00, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.
Exact formula used on this page:
Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.
For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.
Remaining Game Table
`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.
| # | Date | Matchup | Home Win% | Draw% | Away Win% | Match Score | If Home Wins | If Draw | If Away Wins | Most Affected Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunday, November 08 |
Mansfield United vs Newport FC O40
Mansfield United win
|
29 | 22 | 49 | 258.00 | 142.00 | 58.00 | 58.00 |
Mansfield United
129.00 total change across the 3 results
|
| 2 | Sunday, November 15 |
Medfield vs FC Needham United
FC Needham United win
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 109.20 | 35.10 | 10.90 | 63.20 |
Medfield
62.60 total change across the 3 results
|
| 3 | Sunday, November 08 |
FC Walpole vs Wayland Wahoo
Wayland Wahoo win
|
47 | 22 | 31 | 60.00 | 22.30 | 1.30 | 36.40 |
Wayland Wahoo
60.00 total change across the 3 results
|
| 4 | Sunday, November 08 |
Medfield vs FC Franklin
Medfield win
|
34 | 22 | 44 | 55.00 | 24.40 | 9.60 | 21.00 |
Medfield
55.00 total change across the 3 results
|
| 5 | Sunday, November 08 |
Chelsea FC vs FC Needham United
FC Needham United win
|
62 | 22 | 16 | 31.20 | 6.20 | 0.60 | 24.40 |
FC Needham United
31.20 total change across the 3 results
|