Over 40 Division 5 Central Importance
Fall 2026 leverage table for every remaining game in this flight.
The most important remaining game right now is West Roxbury United vs Carlisle FC on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 77.20, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.
Exact formula used on this page:
Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.
For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.
Remaining Game Table
`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.
| # | Date | Matchup | Home Win% | Draw% | Away Win% | Match Score | If Home Wins | If Draw | If Away Wins | Most Affected Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunday, November 08 |
West Roxbury United vs Carlisle FC
West Roxbury United win
|
42 | 22 | 36 | 77.20 | 32.50 | 15.80 | 28.90 |
West Roxbury United
77.20 total change across the 3 results
|
| 2 | Tuesday, November 10 |
West Roxbury United vs Harvard Blues FC
Harvard Blues FC win
|
55 | 22 | 23 | 73.80 | 20.80 | 22.10 | 30.90 |
West Roxbury United
73.80 total change across the 3 results
|
| 3 | Sunday, November 08 |
Sudbury United vs Harvard Blues FC
Harvard Blues FC win
|
55 | 22 | 23 | 57.10 | 16.70 | 7.20 | 33.20 |
Sudbury United
57.10 total change across the 3 results
|
| 4 | Sunday, November 08 |
Dirty Groton Scoundrels vs Island United FC
Dirty Groton Scoundrels win
|
11 | 22 | 67 | 16.00 | 13.20 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
Island United FC
16.00 total change across the 3 results
|
| 5 | Sunday, November 08 |
Wahooligans FC vs Acton-Boxboro United
Wahooligans FC win
|
24 | 22 | 54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Wahooligans FC
0.00 total change across the 3 results
|