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Over 48 Division 1 South Importance

Fall 2026 leverage table for every remaining game in this flight.

The most important remaining game right now is Taunton Eagles vs Shake-Shake FC Seniors on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 110.70, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Taunton Eagles win
53.20 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Taunton Eagles vs Shake-Shake FC Seniors
Taunton Eagles win
30 22 48 110.70 53.20 28.70 28.80
Taunton Eagles
81.50 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Rovers FC o48 vs Kel Kau
Rovers FC o48 win
16 22 62 47.80 19.00 19.00 9.80
Rovers FC o48
47.80 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Fernandes FC O50 vs Crafty Veterans
Fernandes FC O50 win
34 22 44 38.80 19.40 9.70 9.70
Crafty Veterans
38.80 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, September 27
Shake-Shake FC Seniors vs Jamaica Plain FC 48
Draw
57 22 21 25.90 6.50 9.70 9.70
Shake-Shake FC Seniors
25.90 total change across the 3 results
5 Sunday, November 08
Jamaica Plain FC 48 vs SBU Ashland
Jamaica Plain FC 48 win
28 22 50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jamaica Plain FC 48
0.00 total change across the 3 results
6 Thursday, November 12
Kel Kau vs Fernandes FC O50
Kel Kau win
55 22 23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kel Kau
0.00 total change across the 3 results