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The most important remaining game right now is Westford O48 PAC Lowell vs Winchester Town Fifties on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 115.30, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Westford O48 PAC Lowell win
60.60 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Westford O48 PAC Lowell vs Winchester Town Fifties
Westford O48 PAC Lowell win
32 22 46 115.30 60.60 18.60 36.10
Winchester Town Fifties
62.00 total change across the 3 results
2 Thursday, November 05
Westford O48 PAC Lowell vs Westford FC
Westford FC win
41 22 37 79.00 27.80 22.40 28.80
Westford O48 PAC Lowell
46.50 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Medford United II vs Westford FC
Westford FC win
36 22 42 28.90 8.70 8.70 11.50
Westford FC
28.90 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
FC Older School vs Medford Atomic
FC Older School win
32 22 46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
FC Older School
0.00 total change across the 3 results