Home Back to Flight

The most important remaining game right now is Irish Village 48 vs United Intl FC on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 89.20, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
United Intl FC win
38.70 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Irish Village 48 vs United Intl FC
United Intl FC win
54 22 24 89.20 28.30 22.20 38.70
Irish Village 48
89.20 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Hopkinton Hotspur o48's vs FC Franklin O50
Draw
53 22 25 71.40 22.80 24.30 24.30
Hopkinton Hotspur o48's
71.40 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Wayland wahootoo vs Framingham Persepolis 48
Wayland wahootoo win
34 22 44 16.20 8.20 4.00 4.00
Wayland wahootoo
16.20 total change across the 3 results