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Over 48 Division 3 North Importance

Fall 2026 leverage table for every remaining game in this flight.

The most important remaining game right now is Cantona over 48 vs Melrose United on Friday, November 06. Its match score is 178.70, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Melrose United win
89.80 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Friday, November 06
Cantona over 48 vs Melrose United
Melrose United win
41 22 37 178.70 75.80 13.10 89.80
Melrose United
89.40 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Cantona over 48 vs Hurricanes SC
Cantona over 48 win
36 22 42 40.50 18.70 10.90 10.90
Cantona over 48
40.50 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Lexington Golden Eagles vs Melrose United
Melrose United win
30 22 48 39.90 12.40 12.40 15.10
Melrose United
39.90 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
Arlington Pond Dawgz vs North Andover FC O48
Arlington Pond Dawgz win
44 22 34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arlington Pond Dawgz
0.00 total change across the 3 results
5 Sunday, November 08
Lynnfield FC Raiders vs Northshore United Soccer Club
Lynnfield FC Raiders win
45 22 33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lynnfield FC Raiders
0.00 total change across the 3 results