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The most important remaining game right now is Norfolk FC vs FC Walpole O48 on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 89.00, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Norfolk FC win
41.40 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Norfolk FC vs FC Walpole O48
Norfolk FC win
34 22 44 89.00 41.40 10.10 37.50
Norfolk FC
89.00 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Kendall Wanderers vs Lexington Allin Eagles
Kendall Wanderers win
21 22 57 65.60 46.00 0.90 18.70
Kendall Wanderers
65.60 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
FIMA FC O50 vs Celtic Veterans
FIMA FC O50 win
17 22 61 60.10 43.10 8.50 8.50
FIMA FC O50
60.10 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
Albanian United Veterans vs Easton Legends
Albanian United Veterans win
26 22 52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Albanian United Veterans
0.00 total change across the 3 results