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The most important remaining game right now is Rovers FC O55 vs West Roxbury United 55 on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 269.60, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
West Roxbury United 55 win
130.40 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Rovers FC O55 vs West Roxbury United 55
West Roxbury United 55 win
43 22 35 269.60 69.60 69.60 130.40
Rovers FC O55
134.80 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Weston vs Medway MOB
Weston win
39 22 39 205.00 94.20 38.60 72.20
Medway MOB
113.20 total change across the 3 results
3 Saturday, November 07
Wayland wahootee vs Shake-Shake FC Veterans
Shake-Shake FC Veterans win
42 22 36 148.20 39.00 39.00 70.20
Shake-Shake FC Veterans
114.90 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
Framingham United vs Wayland wahootee
Draw
62 22 16 21.60 4.00 8.80 8.80
Wayland wahootee
21.60 total change across the 3 results