Home Back to Flight

The most important remaining game right now is Lexington Regal Eagles vs Nashua IFC on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 59.80, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Nashua IFC win
40.80 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Lexington Regal Eagles vs Nashua IFC
Nashua IFC win
58 22 20 59.80 9.50 9.50 40.80
Nashua IFC
59.80 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Medford Atomic o55 vs Lexington Eagles O55
Lexington Eagles O55 win
52 22 26 14.10 3.30 1.30 9.50
Lexington Eagles O55
14.10 total change across the 3 results
3 Friday, November 06
Lexington Eagles O55 vs Lexington Regal Eagles
Lexington Eagles O55 win
25 22 53 12.70 9.50 0.10 3.10
Lexington Eagles O55
12.70 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
Melrose Good Guys vs Hurricanes SC
Melrose Good Guys win
62 22 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Melrose Good Guys
0.00 total change across the 3 results
5 Sunday, November 08
NS Internationals vs Pepperell Celtic
NS Internationals win
41 22 37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
NS Internationals
0.00 total change across the 3 results