Home Back to Flight

The most important remaining game right now is Ashland vs Jamaica Plain FC 55 on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 0.00, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Ashland win
0.00 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Ashland vs Jamaica Plain FC 55
Ashland win
38 22 40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ashland
0.00 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Fernandes FC O55 vs Western Mass Lusitanos
Fernandes FC O55 win
47 22 31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Fernandes FC O55
0.00 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Irish Village vs FUFC Gray
Irish Village win
57 22 21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Irish Village
0.00 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
Sudbury Thistle AC vs F.C. Westwood
Sudbury Thistle AC win
22 22 56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sudbury Thistle AC
0.00 total change across the 3 results