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The most important remaining game right now is MGG vs Marblehead o55 on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 133.40, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
MGG win
70.20 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
MGG vs Marblehead o55
MGG win
32 22 46 133.40 70.20 31.60 31.60
MGG
66.70 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 15
Marblehead o55 vs Lynnfield F.C. Spartans
Marblehead o55 win
52 22 26 46.00 15.80 15.10 15.10
Marblehead o55
46.00 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Arlington Pond Dawgz vs Westford
Arlington Pond Dawgz win
30 22 48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arlington Pond Dawgz
0.00 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
North Reading vs Lynnfield F.C. Spartans
North Reading win
48 22 30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
North Reading
0.00 total change across the 3 results