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The most important remaining game right now is Wayland Spirit vs Needham Relics on Sunday, November 08. Its match score is 184.80, which means the three possible results in this game create more combined change for those two teams' promotion and relegation chances than any other matchup left.

Formula
Three-result swing for the two teams in the match
Measured only from the two teams playing in that match.
Simulation Runs
2000
Used for each baseline and single-outcome branch.
Top Outcome Branch
Wayland Spirit win
85.40 change for the two teams

Exact formula used on this page:

Match score = home-win change + draw change + away-win change, where each change = promotion change for both teams + relegation change for both teams.

For each remaining game, force a home win, a draw, and an away win. For each of those three results, add up how much the two teams in that match would change in promotion chance and relegation chance. Then add those three result totals together.

Remaining Game Table

`Match score` is the headline ranking. The three branch columns show how much the two teams in that match would change if the home team wins, if it ends in a draw, or if the away team wins.

# Date Matchup Home Win% Draw% Away Win% Match Score If Home Wins If Draw If Away Wins Most Affected Team
1 Sunday, November 08
Wayland Spirit vs Needham Relics
Wayland Spirit win
17 22 61 184.80 85.40 56.00 43.40
Needham Relics
95.40 total change across the 3 results
2 Sunday, November 08
Needham Relics vs Wayland Spirit
Wayland Spirit win
61 22 17 177.90 39.00 54.70 84.20
Needham Relics
92.10 total change across the 3 results
3 Sunday, November 08
Burlington 0-68 vs Harvard O-68
Harvard O-68 win
58 22 20 157.30 41.80 34.40 81.10
Burlington 0-68
99.60 total change across the 3 results
4 Sunday, November 08
Beverly vs LFC Travelers
LFC Travelers win
48 22 30 96.00 34.50 21.10 40.40
Beverly
96.00 total change across the 3 results
5 Sunday, November 08
Londonderry FC vs GRandOVER 68
Londonderry FC win
14 22 64 81.40 34.50 29.50 17.40
GRandOVER 68
81.40 total change across the 3 results